Morning note
27 September 2026
Overnight movers picked from the morning's headline pull and judged on the headlines alone, without opening the articles, followed by the dates coming up in the next seven days. How the board works.
Overnight movers
- Saudi Arabia–Houthi war: Riyadh schools were reported to be switching to remote learning because of the Houthi threat, and Pakistan was reported to have put a counter-terrorism general in command of the Mecca defence alliance. Riyadh schools switch to remote learning; Pakistani general to lead Mecca defence alliance. No listed indicator.
- Yemen, Houthis & Red Sea: Yemeni government forces were reported to have widened their attacks against the Houthis. Yemen government forces widen attacks against Houthis. No listed indicator.
- Sudan civil war: An RSF drone strike was reported to have hit a strategic fuel depot in central Sudan. RSF drone strike hits fuel depot. No listed indicator.
- Afghanistan and the Afghanistan–Pakistan war: Kabul was reported to say 28 fighters, mostly former Afghan security personnel, were killed after crossing from Pakistan. 28 fighters killed after crossing from Pakistan, Kabul says. No listed indicator.
- Pakistan internal insurgency (TTP and BLA): A suicide bombing at a police checkpoint in Dera Ismail Khan was reported to have killed at least 12 people and injured 30, with the Pakistani Taliban claiming responsibility. Suicide bombing in Dera Ismail Khan kills at least 12; Pakistani Taliban claims attack. No listed indicator.
- Russian hybrid operations in Europe: Germany was reported to have linked an arson attack near the drone maker Helsing to Russia's GRU, and its sabotage accusation was reported to have ended the operation of Berlin's 'Russian House'. Germany links Helsing arson to GRU; Berlin's 'Russian House'. No listed indicator.
- Terrorism: UK counter-terrorism police were reported to have arrested five men over an alleged car bomb plot near RAF Fairford, a base used for US strikes on Iran. Five arrested over alleged RAF Fairford plot; Counter-terrorism inquiry after explosive arrests. No listed indicator.
- Venezuela: Venezuela was reported to have freed 39 political prisoners after a meeting between Trump and the interim leader. Venezuela frees 39 political prisoners; Prisoners released after Trump meeting. No listed indicator.
Dates in the next 7 days
- 2026-09-27: Panel of Experts expiry and 90-day 1737 Committee briefing (Iran nuclear program)
- 2026-09-27: UN Iran Panel of Experts mandate lapses (US and Israel vs Iran (Hormuz war))
- 2026-09-27: Vucic says he will resign the Serbian presidency to lead his party's election campaign (Western Balkans)
- 2026-09-29: International Day for the Total Elimination of Nuclear Weapons (Nuclear weapons & arms control)
- 2026-09-29: US import bans on Canadian alcohol, motorcycles, whey and other goods take effect (US posture in the hemisphere)
- 2026-09-30: Approval window for the election deal closes (approximate) (Libya)
- 2026-09-30: Curfew in Guayas, Manabi, Los Rios and El Oro under Ecuador's Decree 498 due to end (Ecuador, Peru & Bolivia)
- 2026-09-30: End of the US-led coalition mission (Iraq; Private military companies & proxies)
- 2026-09-30: End of the US-led coalition mission in Iraq; Iraqi officials say it is not a disarmament deadline (Iraqi Shia militia disarmament crisis)
- 2026-09-30: Tulkarm and Nur Shams camp closure orders lapse or renew (West Bank)
- 2026-09-30: UN Security Council vote on re-authorising the Gang Suppression Force; current mandate expires (Haiti)
- 2026-09-30: UNSC monthly Syria meeting (approximate) (Syria transition)
- 2026-10-01: Expected evacuation of PKK camps in the Qandil mountains (Turkey–PKK peace process)
- 2026-10-01: PKK camp evacuation date under the Turkish peace process (Iraq)
- 2026-10-01: Point from which the Iraqi government says the weapons-monopoly plan begins to be implemented (Iraqi Shia militia disarmament crisis)
- 2026-10-04: Bosnia and Herzegovina general election (Russian hybrid operations in Europe; Western Balkans)
- 2026-10-04: Brazil first-round presidential election (Brazil & Southern Cone; Disinformation & election interference)