Global Situation Board
Flashpoint · Africa

Sudan civil war

5SevereActive war▲ escalating
Assessed 15 September 2026

Assessment

The fourth year of the SAF-RSF war has hardened into an east-west partition: the RSF holds Darfur and runs a parallel 'Tasis' government in Nyala, while the SAF holds the ground initiative in Kordofan and El Obeid sits under partial siege amid a large RSF build-up. On Sept 14 UN agencies warned that Sudan's Common Humanitarian Pipeline could run out of shelter, sanitation and emergency relief stocks by the end of September, with 8.6 million people internally displaced and about 19.5 million facing crisis-level hunger. On Sept 11 the Security Council rolled the Darfur-only arms embargo over for a single month, with Russia blocking a nationwide embargo, and a UN fact-finding mission reported in September that external support networks, including up to 2,000 former Colombian contractors operating RSF drones and artillery, are fuelling the fighting. UN human rights chief Volker Turk renewed his call on Sept 7 for an end to the war.

Recent, assessed

  • 2026-09-14UN agencies warn Sudan's humanitarian system could collapse within weeks for lack of funding; the IOM-run Common Humanitarian Pipeline may exhaust shelter, sanitation and relief stocks by end-September, with 8.6 million internally displaced and about 19.5 million facing crisis-level hunger. aljazeera.com

Level history

Threat level after each research review12 September 2026 baseline: level 5; 12 September 2026 weekly review: level 5; 14 September 2026 weekly review: level 5; 15 September 2026 weekly review: level 51234512 September 2026, baseline: level 5, Active war, trend escalating12 September 2026, weekly review: level 5, Active war, trend escalating14 September 2026, weekly review: level 5, Active war, trend escalating15 September 2026, weekly review: level 5, Active war, trend escalating12 Sep14 Sep15 Septoday

Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.

DateLevelStatusTrendReview
2026-09-155Active war▲ escalatingWeekly review
2026-09-145Active war▲ escalatingWeekly review
2026-09-125Active war▲ escalatingWeekly review
2026-09-125Active war▲ escalatingBaseline

Latest headlines 104

Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.