Global Situation Board
Actor · state · Africa

Sudanese Armed Forces (Burhan)

4High
Assessed 15 September 2026

Assessment

The SAF holds the ground initiative in Kordofan, having claimed the Khartoum-El Obeid highway in July, and rejects both a nationwide arms embargo and negotiation with the RSF. Its UN envoy argued on Sept 11 that a comprehensive embargo would contradict Sudan's right of self-defence, and no shift in that position was verified through Sept 15.

Recent, assessed

  • 2026-09-11Sudan's UN ambassador argues against a comprehensive arms embargo as the Security Council rolls over the Darfur-only measure for one month. aljazeera.com

Level history

Threat level after each research review12 September 2026 baseline: level 4; 12 September 2026 weekly review: level 4; 14 September 2026 weekly review: level 4; 15 September 2026 weekly review: level 41234512 September 2026, baseline: level 412 September 2026, weekly review: level 414 September 2026, weekly review: level 415 September 2026, weekly review: level 412 Sep14 Sep15 Septoday

Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.

DateLevelReview
2026-09-154Weekly review
2026-09-144Weekly review
2026-09-124Weekly review
2026-09-124Baseline

Latest headlines 4

Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.