Global Situation Board

Every entry

56 flashpoints and 30 actors of concern, by region. Actors carry a level but no status or trend.

Europe & Russia

EntryKindLevelStatusTrendAssessed
Russia–Ukraine war Flashpoint5Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Russian hybrid operations in Europe Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Russia–NATO frontier Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Belarus Flashpoint3Watch▲ escalating2026-09-15
Moldova & Transnistria Flashpoint3Tense/Stable▲ escalating2026-09-15
South Caucasus (Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia) Flashpoint2Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
Western Balkans Flashpoint2Tense/Stable▲ escalating2026-09-15
Russia (Putin / Kremlin) Actor, state5––2026-09-15
Belarus (Lukashenko) Actor, state3––2026-09-15

Middle East

EntryKindLevelStatusTrendAssessed
Saudi Arabia–Houthi war Flashpoint5Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
US and Israel vs Iran (Hormuz war) Flashpoint5Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Yemen, Houthis & Red Sea Flashpoint5Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Gulf states & Turkey Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Iran internal stability Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Iran nuclear program Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Iraq Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Lebanon & Hezbollah Flashpoint4Active war■ stable2026-09-15
Iraqi Shia militia disarmament crisis Flashpoint3Escalating■ stable2026-09-15
Israel–Gaza Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
Syria transition Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
West Bank Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Houthis (Ansar Allah) Actor, non-state5––2026-09-15
Iran (IRGC / Supreme Leader) Actor, state5––2026-09-15
Iraqi Shia militias (Kataib Hezbollah etc.) Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
Saudi Arabia Actor, state4––2026-09-15
Hamas Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15
Hezbollah Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15

Indo-Pacific & South Asia

EntryKindLevelStatusTrendAssessed
Myanmar civil war Flashpoint4Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Pakistan internal insurgency (TTP and BLA) Flashpoint4Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Afghanistan and the Afghanistan–Pakistan war Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
India–Pakistan & China–India Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
North Korea Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
South & East China Sea Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Taiwan Strait Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
Japan, South Korea & Pacific Flashpoint2Watch■ stable2026-09-15
Thailand–Cambodia & Southeast Asia Flashpoint2Watch■ stable2026-09-15
US–China relations Flashpoint2De-escalating▼ easing2026-09-15
Arakan Army Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
Myanmar junta (Min Aung Hlaing) Actor, state4––2026-09-15
China (Xi / CCP / PLA) Actor, state3––2026-09-15
North Korea (Kim Jong Un) Actor, state3––2026-09-15
Taliban Actor, state3––2026-09-15

Africa

EntryKindLevelStatusTrendAssessed
Sahel (Mali, Burkina Faso, Niger) Flashpoint5Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Sudan civil war Flashpoint5Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Eastern DRC & Rwanda Flashpoint4Active war■ stable2026-09-15
Ethiopia & Eritrea Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Nigeria & Lake Chad Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Somalia Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
South Sudan Flashpoint4Active war■ stable2026-09-15
Libya Flashpoint3Tense/Stable▼ easing2026-09-15
Mozambique, Cameroon & Central Africa Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Coup-belt transitions and coastal West Africa (Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Benin, Togo, Madagascar) Flashpoint2Watch■ stable2026-09-15
Kenya, Uganda & Tanzania Flashpoint2Watch▲ escalating2026-09-15
JNIM (al-Qaeda Sahel) Actor, non-state5––2026-09-15
Rapid Support Forces (Hemedti) Actor, non-state5––2026-09-15
Sudanese Armed Forces (Burhan) Actor, state4––2026-09-15
al-Shabaab Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
M23 / AFC Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15

Americas

EntryKindLevelStatusTrendAssessed
Colombia Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Haiti Flashpoint4Active war▲ escalating2026-09-15
Cuba, Nicaragua and Central America Flashpoint3Escalating■ stable2026-09-15
Ecuador, Peru & Bolivia Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Mexico & cartels Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
US posture in the hemisphere Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Venezuela Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
Brazil & Southern Cone Flashpoint2Watch▲ escalating2026-09-15
ELN (Colombia) Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
Viv Ansanm (Haiti gang coalition) Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
CJNG (Jalisco New Generation) Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15
Sinaloa Cartel Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15
Tren de Aragua Actor, non-state2––2026-09-15
Venezuela interim government (Delcy Rodríguez; Maduro on trial in US) Actor, state2––2026-09-15

Transnational & Hybrid

EntryKindLevelStatusTrendAssessed
Infrastructure & domain sabotage Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Nuclear weapons & arms control Flashpoint4Tense/Stable▲ escalating2026-09-15
Private military companies & proxies Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
State cyber operations Flashpoint4Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Disinformation & election interference Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Global institutions & diplomacy Flashpoint3Watch■ stable2026-09-15
Sanctions & evasion Flashpoint3Escalating▲ escalating2026-09-15
Terrorism Flashpoint3Tense/Stable■ stable2026-09-15
Chinese state hackers (Salt/Volt Typhoon) Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
Russia's Africa Corps / Wagner Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
Russian state hackers (GRU / Sandworm / APT28) Actor, non-state4––2026-09-15
Islamic State (core, ISIS-K, affiliates) Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15
North Korean hackers (Lazarus) Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15
Russian influence networks (Matryoshka / Storm-1679, Social Design Agency) Actor, non-state3––2026-09-15