US posture in the hemisphere
Assessment
The US-Canada trade war is in open retaliation: Canada's dollar-for-dollar tariffs on about 27.6 billion Canadian dollars of US steel, dairy, electronics, agricultural equipment and pulp and paper took effect on Sept 8 in answer to the 50 percent US duties imposed on roughly 20 billion dollars of Canadian goods from Aug 22, and on Sept 8-9 Washington announced outright import bans on Canadian dairy, motorcycles and alcoholic beverages from Sept 29. Carney, who said on Aug 22 that Canada is at war because it was attacked, has told Canadians to hold firm and said talks can resume when Washington is serious, while the US trade representative and his Canadian counterpart have kept a channel open. Annexation rhetoric toward Canada and Greenland continues alongside an expanding domestic military role and mass visa revocations, though on Aug 31 the chairman of the Joint Chiefs told the Senate in writing that the Joint Force has no plans to send federal or federalised troops to polling places for the November midterms or to seize ballots or voting machines. No new escalation was verified between Sept 14 and Sept 15.
Recent, assessed
- 2026-09-08Canada's retaliatory tariffs on US steel, dairy, electronics, agricultural equipment and pulp and paper take effect after trade talks collapsed. cnbc.com
Level history
Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.
| Date | Level | Status | Trend | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 3 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-14 | 3 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Baseline |
Latest headlines 15
Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.
- US and Denmark reach deal over Greenland after Trump annexation threats
- Why Trump’s Greenland deal is really about China ahead of Xi visit
- Trump says US has ‘permanent control’ of Greenland security: Does it?
- Trump ‘settled for less’ with new US-Denmark Greenland security deal
- Latest News India and World LIVE Updates: Trump claims 'permanent control' over Greenland security, Pak attack death toll mounts to 31
- Trump to make deal with Denmark to build US military presence in Greenland
- US and Denmark reach security deal after Trump’s threats to take over Greenland
- Iran executes man after convicting him of giving Israel info on missile sites during 2025 war
- Trump secures permanent US military control over Greenland, after more than 100 years of failed attempts
- St. Pierre and Miquelon, France, In the Spotlight as Macron and Carney Visit
- Ukrainian National Guard creates recruitment center for foreign volunteers, Ukrainian Prime Minister announces
- Greenland - Page 4
- Canadians dream of Europe as Carney floats longshot plan for living and working in EU
- Carney Calls for E.U.-Canada Pact Amid ‘Ferocious Storm’
- All smiles in Strasbourg but uncertainty clouds Canada’s EU membership plan