Global Situation Board
Flashpoint · Americas

Colombia

4HighEscalating▲ escalating
Assessed 15 September 2026

Assessment

De la Espriella's offensive against the armed groups has continued without pause since Resolucion Ejecutiva 391 of Sept 11 revoked the government delegations to the ELN, the Clan del Golfo and the other tables and stripped those groups of political status. On Sept 15 he confirmed that army Gaula units had freed eight people kidnapped by the ELN in rural Convencion, Norte de Santander, in an operation he said was carried out with United States assistance, and the same day announced the capture of seven alleged members of the 'Cordillera' organisation in Dosquebradas, Risaralda. Colombia was still awaiting the US anti-drug certification determination, statutorily due on Sept 15, after Rubio said in Barranquilla on Sept 8 that the new government's cooperation is different from the past but that this year's assessment covers the previous twelve months under Petro. Airstrikes have resumed, Colombia has joined the US-led hemispheric counter-cartel coalition, and a 100-day surrender ultimatum to armed groups lapses around Nov 15.

Recent, assessed

  • 2026-09-15De la Espriella confirms that army Gaula units freed eight people held hostage by the ELN in rural Convencion, Norte de Santander, in an operation he says was carried out with US assistance. infobae.com
  • 2026-09-15Colombia awaits the US anti-drug certification determination due that day; Rubio said in Barranquilla on Sept 8 that the new government's cooperation is different from the past but that the assessment covers the previous twelve months under Petro. (snippet only) elheraldo.co
  • 2026-09-15De la Espriella announces the capture of seven alleged members of the 'Cordillera' drug-trafficking organisation in Dosquebradas, Risaralda under Operation Mars. (single-sourced) eluniversal.com.co

Level history

Threat level after each research review12 September 2026 baseline: level 4; 12 September 2026 weekly review: level 4; 14 September 2026 weekly review: level 4; 15 September 2026 weekly review: level 41234512 September 2026, baseline: level 4, Escalating, trend escalating12 September 2026, weekly review: level 4, Escalating, trend escalating14 September 2026, weekly review: level 4, Escalating, trend escalating15 September 2026, weekly review: level 4, Escalating, trend escalating12 Sep14 Sep15 Septoday

Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.

DateLevelStatusTrendReview
2026-09-154Escalating▲ escalatingWeekly review
2026-09-144Escalating▲ escalatingWeekly review
2026-09-124Escalating▲ escalatingWeekly review
2026-09-124Escalating▲ escalatingBaseline

Latest headlines 6

Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.