Global Situation Board
Actor · non-state · Americas

Tren de Aragua

2Guarded
Assessed 15 September 2026

Assessment

The US-designated organisation continues to be invoked as justification for the maritime strike campaign around Venezuela and for expedited deportations, with the campaign's cumulative toll standing at at least 230 killed in at least 68 strikes as of the Sept 9 Caribbean strike. No discrete operation or attack attributable to the group was verified between Sept 14 and Sept 15.

Recent, assessed

  • No assessed events recorded yet.

Level history

Threat level after each research review12 September 2026 baseline: level 2; 12 September 2026 weekly review: level 2; 14 September 2026 weekly review: level 2; 15 September 2026 weekly review: level 21234512 September 2026, baseline: level 212 September 2026, weekly review: level 214 September 2026, weekly review: level 215 September 2026, weekly review: level 212 Sep14 Sep15 Septoday

Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.

DateLevelReview
2026-09-152Weekly review
2026-09-142Weekly review
2026-09-122Weekly review
2026-09-122Baseline

Latest headlines 0

Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.

  • No headlines matched in this pull.