Global Situation Board
Actor · state · Indo-Pacific & South Asia

North Korea (Kim Jong Un)

3Elevated
Assessed 15 September 2026

Assessment

Fired several Hwasong-11 series short-range ballistic missiles and 600mm rocket artillery from the Wonsan area on Sept 12, a day after the trilateral Freedom Edge exercise ended, and KCNA confirmed on Sept 14 that this was a joint firepower attack drill by five artillery and missile units against an island target using attack drones, a tactical cruise missile and a thermobaric multiple rocket launcher. Troops, drone operators and munitions continue to flow to Russia, and Kim Yo Jong says there is no communication with Trump.

Recent, assessed

  • 2026-09-14KCNA describes the Sept 12 launches as a joint firepower attack drill by subunits of five artillery and missile units, involving attack drones, a tactical cruise missile, a large-calibre thermobaric multiple rocket launcher and a tactical ballistic missile aimed at an island target. koreaherald.com

Level history

Threat level after each research review12 September 2026 baseline: level 3; 12 September 2026 weekly review: level 3; 14 September 2026 weekly review: level 3; 15 September 2026 weekly review: level 31234512 September 2026, baseline: level 312 September 2026, weekly review: level 314 September 2026, weekly review: level 315 September 2026, weekly review: level 312 Sep14 Sep15 Septoday

Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.

DateLevelReview
2026-09-153Weekly review
2026-09-143Weekly review
2026-09-123Weekly review
2026-09-123Baseline

Latest headlines 12

Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.