Private military companies & proxies
Assessment
Houthi forces said on Sept 14 that they had fired dozens of ballistic missiles and drones at King Khalid airbase in Khamis Mushait, hitting hangars, radar, runways and ammunition depots, in declared retaliation for more than 300 Saudi air strikes across Yemen over five days; the claim followed a Sept 13 strike on Sharurah and the Sept 8 wave on Abha, Khamis Mushait, Jazan and Najran that wounded 73. Drones launched from Iraq's Maysan province struck Saudi Arabia's East-West crude pipeline on Sept 11, forcing the shutdown of the 4 to 5 million barrels a day route that had substituted for the Strait of Hormuz; Iraq seized the launch platform and dismissed the Maysan operations commander on Sept 13, and Riyadh held off retaliation at Baghdad's request. Kata'ib Hizballah and other Iraqi militias still refuse disarmament before the Sept 30 deadline. Russia's Africa Corps took its heaviest reported single loss of 2026 when five of its personnel were killed alongside more than 50 Malian soldiers in JNIM's Sept 11 assault on the Dioura camp, reported on Sept 14.
Recent, assessed
- 2026-09-14Houthi forces claim an attack with dozens of ballistic missiles and drones on King Khalid airbase at Khamis Mushait, citing more than 300 Saudi air strikes across Yemen over five days. aljazeera.com
- 2026-09-14Africanews reports that five Russian Africa Corps personnel were killed alongside more than 50 Malian soldiers in JNIM's Sept 11 assault on the Dioura camp in the Mopti region. africanews.com
Level history
Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.
| Date | Level | Status | Trend | Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 4 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-14 | 4 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | Escalating | ▲ escalating | Baseline |
Latest headlines 5
Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.
- Russia announces chilling expansion of army across 6 African countries
- Russia’s Africa Corps Grows by a Third Despite Battlefield Failures, Ukraine Says
- The Kremlin doubts the effectiveness of the “African Corps”: Russians are suffering casualties in Mali, according to the Main Intelligence Directorate
- DIU: Russian ’African Corps’ not ready for asymmetric battles with numerous rebel groups • ANTIKOR portal
- Between Moscow and Ankara: Mali's Tuareg Rebels Try to Navigate a Widening Proxy Battlefield