Actor · state · Europe & Russia
Belarus (Lukashenko)
Assessed 15 September 2026
Assessment
Lukashenko's regime moved its Sept 11 order to inspect the army 'up to mobilization' into a live Sept 15-18 Western Operational Command exercise on the Polish and Lithuanian borders, rehearsing border cover, martial law and counter-drone tasks, with no reservist call-up figures published. Belarus hosts Russian tactical nuclear weapons and, per Ukraine's HUR, the Oreshnik-armed 101st Missile Brigade, and its territory remained the corridor for the drone NATO jets shot down over Lithuania on Sept 15.
Recent, assessed
- 2026-09-15Belarus launched a Sept 15-18 Western Operational Command command-and-staff exercise near the borders of Poland and Lithuania under Chief of the General Staff Pavel Muraveiko. charter97.org
Level history
Levels set by research reviews. A level set by hand is shown at the top of the page while it is in force and is not part of this history.
| Date | Level | Review |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 3 | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-14 | 3 | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | Weekly review |
| 2026-09-12 | 3 | Baseline |
Latest headlines 29
Matched to this entry by keyword from the pull of 19 Sep, 11:09 UTC. Not reviewed; some may be off-topic.
- Lukashenko released only 25 political prisoners instead of the several hundred expected by the US
- Alleged Lukashenko henchman to appear before the St. Gallen Cantonal Court
- Lukashenko suggests planting more potatoes in Belarus in future
- Sibiga: Ukraine has always distinguished between the Belarusian people and Lukashenko’s regime
- A sucker is fate: Zelensky's office said that it was impossible to negotiate with Lukashenko
- Tears of happiness, gift from president. Lukashenko finds livestock specialist for agricultural enterprise
- Lukashenko calls for major overhaul of Mogilev Oblast by next year
- Rachkov on Coale-Lukashenko talks: There are no immediate major results in big-league politics
- Lukashenko set task to plant more potatoes in Belarus
- Lukashenko weighs pros and cons of Belarus’ geopolitical position
- Lukashenko: We don’t want what belongs to others but we won’t give up ours either
- Lukashenko: People of Belarus is the only master of Belarusian land | Latest events in Belarus - Opinions & Interviews
- Lukashenko to Western experts on Belarus: You are driven by hate, we are moved by creation
- Lukashenko began working trip to Shklov District with harsh critical remarks
- Lukashenko working in Shklov District today: potato harvesting in focus